As we
navigate the energy transition, the economic advantages of renewable energies
are becoming undeniable, especially when compared to fossil fuels – and I would
(maybe boldly) say that this is like comparing 21st and 19th
century-developed technologies. Both technology systems have very different
economic and financial playbooks, with renewables typically requiring bigger
capex, but then with considerable advantages when we look at operational costs
at scale – I have seen figures that point out to less than half of fossil’s
operational costs per MWh. It’s also worth noting that R&D focus on
renewables has also been driving capex requirements down – and this is expected
to keep on going for, at least, the next couple of decades. Renewables also
offer long-term savings by eliminating fuel costs and reducing exposure to
price volatility, while fostering energy independence.
Let’s not
downplay fossil. Fossil fuels were instrumental in powering industrial growth
during the 19th and 20th centuries, and are a proven and tested
technology, easy to implement and to run – and that probably plays a lot on the
importance of coal on today’s energy grids (and, by the way, they are
independent from the weather and day/night transitions). But their finite
nature, higher operational costs, and reliance on volatile markets present
significant challenges today (and I am leaving environmental external costs
aside, on purpose). Renewables, on the other hand, are abundant (virtually
infinite), with lower opex and aligned with modern economic priorities like
energy security and electrification.
On the
long-run, and at scale, it’s probable that fossil fuel-based economies will be
facing a significant economic disadvantage when compared to the ones that
combine renewable sources and smart-grids. What I am saying here is that it is
foreseeable that products produced under fossil fuel-based systems will be
naturally more expensive. And so, that economies that are not already
transitioning to renewables (and that are trying to protect their fossil fuel
systems through state sponsored initiatives) will probably be playing in an
uneven (against them) field in the medium term.
Prioritizing
renewable energy solutions is not only an environmental and quality of life
imperative but a smarter economic choice for the future. The shift to
21st-century energy is here – so, let’s embrace it!
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